← all past elections
Toss-up · 2002 Governor
California Governor
In the 2002 California Governor race, Gray Davis (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.9
Final polls said
D+6.8
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | D+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+7.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Los Angeles Times | D+9.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Voter/Consumer Research | D+0.5 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-021
Tarrance Group2002-10-282
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2002-10-272
SurveyUSA2002-10-266
Los Angeles Times2002-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 California Governor race?
Gray Davis (D) won, by about 4.9 points (D+4.9).
When was the 2002 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.