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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
California Governor
In the 2002 California Governor race, Gray Davis (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.9
Final polls said
D+6.8
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | D+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+7.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Los Angeles Times | D+9.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Voter/Consumer Research | D+0.5 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-021
Tarrance Group2002-10-282
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2002-10-272
SurveyUSA2002-10-266
Los Angeles Times2002-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 California Governor race?
Gray Davis (D) won, by about 4.9 points (D+4.9).
When was the 2002 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.