← all past elections
Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 2002 Florida Governor race, Jeb Bush (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.8
Final polls said
R+6.0
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+16.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Florida Poll | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fleming & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | EMC Research | R+5.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marketing Workshop | R+4.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-038
Zogby Analytics2002-11-013
The Florida Poll2002-10-297
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-295
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2002-10-2810
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Florida Governor race?
Jeb Bush (R) won, by about 12.8 points (R+12.8).
When was the 2002 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.