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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 2002 Florida Governor race, Jeb Bush (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.8
Final polls said
R+6.0
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+16.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Florida Poll | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fleming & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | EMC Research | R+5.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marketing Workshop | R+4.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-038
Zogby Analytics2002-11-013
The Florida Poll2002-10-297
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-295
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2002-10-2810
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Florida Governor race?
Jeb Bush (R) won, by about 12.8 points (R+12.8).
When was the 2002 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.