← all past elections
Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Iowa Governor
In the 2002 Iowa Governor race, Tom Vilsack (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+8.2
Final polls said
D+13.2
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | D+12.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gazette Communications | D+12.7 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2002-10-314
Gazette Communications2002-10-295
SurveyUSA2002-10-286
SurveyUSA2002-10-216
SurveyUSA2002-10-074
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Iowa Governor race?
Tom Vilsack (D) won, by about 8.2 points (D+8.2).
When was the 2002 Iowa Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.