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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2002 Minnesota Governor race, Tim Pawlenty (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.9
Final polls said
R+2.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | R+3.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 7.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-038
Zogby Analytics2002-11-017
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-314
Minneapolis Star Tribune2002-10-315
Minneapolis Star Tribune2002-10-284
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Minnesota Governor race?
Tim Pawlenty (R) won, by about 7.9 points (R+7.9).
When was the 2002 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.