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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
In the 2002 Pennsylvania Governor race, Ed Rendell (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.0
Final polls said
D+18.2
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+17.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | West Chester University | D+17.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | D+19.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Quinnipiac University | D+19.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-308
SurveyUSA2002-10-2810
West Chester University2002-10-268
Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs2002-10-2610
Quinnipiac University2002-10-2410
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Pennsylvania Governor race?
Ed Rendell (D) won, by about 9.0 points (D+9.0).
When was the 2002 Pennsylvania Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.