← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 Governor
North Carolina Governor
In the 2004 North Carolina Governor race, Mike Easley (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.7
Final polls said
D+15.8
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Tyson Group | D+15.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+16.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-301
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-253
SurveyUSA2004-10-235
The Tyson Group2004-10-192
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-187
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Carolina Governor race?
Mike Easley (D) won, by about 12.7 points (D+12.7).
When was the 2004 North Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.