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Toss-up · 2004 President
Michigan President
In the 2004 Michigan President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
D+3.7
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Opinion Dynamics | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | EPIC-MRA | D+6.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gallup | D+6.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | American Research Group | D+8.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | Detroit Free Press | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
29 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-313
SurveyUSA2004-10-290
Zogby Analytics2004-10-285
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-281
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-281
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Michigan President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).
When was the 2004 Michigan President election held?
It was held in November 2004.