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Toss-up · 2004 President
Minnesota President
In the 2004 Minnesota President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.5
Final polls said
D+3.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+4.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Market Shares Corp. | D+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+1.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | St. Cloud State University | D+7.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+7.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 9 | Gallup | D+8.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | R+3.0 | 6.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
26 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Minneapolis Star Tribune2004-10-311
Zogby Analytics2004-10-313
Gallup2004-10-295
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-282
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-284
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Minnesota President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 3.5 points (D+3.5).
When was the 2004 Minnesota President election held?
It was held in November 2004.