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Toss-up · 2004 President
New York President
In the 2004 New York President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+18.1
Final polls said
D+17.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+18.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+18.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Siena College | D+15.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+12.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2004-10-273
SurveyUSA2004-10-270
Marist College2004-10-250
SurveyUSA2004-10-105
Siena College2004-09-222
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New York President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 18.1 points (D+18.1).
When was the 2004 New York President election held?
It was held in November 2004.