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Toss-up · 2004 President
Ohio President
In the 2004 Ohio President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.1
Final polls said
R+0.3
25 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Opinion Dynamics | R+3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | R+1.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Columbus Dispatch | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | Lake Research Partners | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | R+6.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 10 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+3.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 11 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 12 | Gallup | D+4.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 13 | Ohio University | D+4.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 14 | Market Shares Corp. | D+4.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 15 | Los Angeles Times | D+6.0 | 8.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
44 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2004-10-316
Zogby Analytics2004-10-314
Gallup2004-10-306
SurveyUSA2004-10-300
Opinion Dynamics2004-10-301
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Ohio President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 2.1 points (R+2.1).
When was the 2004 Ohio President election held?
It was held in November 2004.