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Toss-up · 2004 President
South Carolina President
In the 2004 South Carolina President race, John Kerry (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.1
Final polls said
R+15.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | R+16.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+12.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Basswood Research | R+27.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-231
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-194
SurveyUSA2004-10-114
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-281
Basswood Research2004-09-2510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Carolina President race?
John Kerry (R) won, by about 17.1 points (R+17.1).
When was the 2004 South Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.