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Toss-up · 2004 President
South Carolina President
In the 2004 South Carolina President race, John Kerry (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.1
Final polls said
R+15.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | R+16.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+12.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Basswood Research | R+27.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-231
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-194
SurveyUSA2004-10-114
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-281
Basswood Research2004-09-2510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Carolina President race?
John Kerry (R) won, by about 17.1 points (R+17.1).
When was the 2004 South Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2004.