← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 President
Tennessee President
In the 2004 Tennessee President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.3
Final polls said
R+11.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Tennessee | R+17.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee State University | R+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+7.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.3 | 11.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-294
Zogby Analytics2004-10-2811
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-202
SurveyUSA2004-10-188
Zogby Analytics2004-10-1512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Tennessee President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 14.3 points (R+14.3).
When was the 2004 Tennessee President election held?
It was held in November 2004.