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Toss-up · 2004 President
Tennessee President
In the 2004 Tennessee President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.3
Final polls said
R+11.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Tennessee | R+17.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee State University | R+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+7.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.3 | 11.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-294
Zogby Analytics2004-10-2811
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-202
SurveyUSA2004-10-188
Zogby Analytics2004-10-1512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Tennessee President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 14.3 points (R+14.3).
When was the 2004 Tennessee President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.