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Toss-up · 2004 President
Texas President
In the 2004 Texas President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
R+22.9
Final polls said
R+22.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+22.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+22.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-271
SurveyUSA2004-10-100
SurveyUSA2004-09-202
American Research Group2004-09-181
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Texas President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 22.9 points (R+22.9).
When was the 2004 Texas President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.