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Toss-up · 2004 President
Virginia President
In the 2004 Virginia President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.2
Final polls said
R+5.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+4.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-242
Richmond Times-Dispatch2004-10-231
SurveyUSA2004-10-174
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Virginia President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 8.2 points (R+8.2).
When was the 2004 Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2004.