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Toss-up · 2004 President
Virginia President
In the 2004 Virginia President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.2
Final polls said
R+5.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | R+9.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+6.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+4.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-242
Richmond Times-Dispatch2004-10-231
SurveyUSA2004-10-174
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Virginia President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 8.2 points (R+8.2).
When was the 2004 Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.