← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 Senate
California Senate
In the 2004 California Senate race, Barbara Boxer (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.9
Final polls said
D+19.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+19.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+21.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Los Angeles Times | D+22.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-301
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2004-10-241
SurveyUSA2004-10-245
SurveyUSA2004-10-162
Los Angeles Times2004-10-162
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 California Senate race?
Barbara Boxer (D) won, by about 19.9 points (D+19.9).
When was the 2004 California Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.