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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
California Senate
In the 2004 California Senate race, Barbara Boxer (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.9
Final polls said
D+19.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+19.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+21.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Los Angeles Times | D+22.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-301
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2004-10-241
SurveyUSA2004-10-245
SurveyUSA2004-10-162
Los Angeles Times2004-10-162
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 California Senate race?
Barbara Boxer (D) won, by about 19.9 points (D+19.9).
When was the 2004 California Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.