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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
North Carolina Senate
In the 2004 North Carolina Senate race, Richard Burr (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.6
Final polls said
R+2.0
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Viewpoint | R+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Tyson Group | R+1.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+0.3 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | Market Research Institute Inc. | D+11.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-300
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-255
SurveyUSA2004-10-231
Global Strategy Group2004-10-207
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Carolina Senate race?
Richard Burr (R) won, by about 4.6 points (R+4.6).
When was the 2004 North Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.