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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
North Carolina Senate
In the 2004 North Carolina Senate race, Richard Burr (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.6
Final polls said
R+2.0
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Viewpoint | R+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Tyson Group | R+1.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+0.3 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | Market Research Institute Inc. | D+11.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-300
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-255
SurveyUSA2004-10-231
Global Strategy Group2004-10-207
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Carolina Senate race?
Richard Burr (R) won, by about 4.6 points (R+4.6).
When was the 2004 North Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.