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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
New York Senate
In the 2004 New York Senate race, Charles E. Schumer (D) won by about 37 points.
Actual result
D+37.1
Final polls said
D+56.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+48.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+56.0 | 18.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Marist College2004-10-2519
Marist College2004-09-1511
Quinnipiac University2004-09-0911
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New York Senate race?
Charles E. Schumer (D) won, by about 37.1 points (D+37.1).
When was the 2004 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.