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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Ohio Senate
In the 2004 Ohio Senate race, George V. Voinovich (R) won by about 28 points.
Actual result
R+27.7
Final polls said
R+28.2
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+28.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Opinion Dynamics | R+30.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | R+30.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+25.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+24.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Columbus Dispatch | R+24.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+38.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-304
SurveyUSA2004-10-300
Opinion Dynamics2004-10-302
University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)2004-10-292
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-2710
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Ohio Senate race?
George V. Voinovich (R) won, by about 27.7 points (R+27.7).
When was the 2004 Ohio Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.