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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
South Carolina Senate
In the 2004 South Carolina Senate race, Jim DeMint (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+8.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+8.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Basswood Research | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-272
SurveyUSA2004-10-233
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-196
SurveyUSA2004-10-117
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-064
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Carolina Senate race?
Jim DeMint (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2004 South Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.