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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
South Carolina Senate
In the 2004 South Carolina Senate race, Jim DeMint (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+8.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+8.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Basswood Research | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-272
SurveyUSA2004-10-233
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-196
SurveyUSA2004-10-117
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-064
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Carolina Senate race?
Jim DeMint (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2004 South Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.