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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Wisconsin Senate
In the 2004 Wisconsin Senate race, Russ Feingold (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.2
Final polls said
D+16.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+13.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Opinion Dynamics | D+14.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Wisconsin Survey Center | D+15.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+6.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Tarrance Group | D+5.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+23.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Market Shares Corp. | D+24.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | D+24.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Opinion Dynamics2004-10-303
Zogby Analytics2004-10-3012
Tarrance Group2004-10-266
Zogby Analytics2004-10-2612
University of Wisconsin Survey Center2004-10-254
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Wisconsin Senate race?
Russ Feingold (D) won, by about 11.2 points (D+11.2).
When was the 2004 Wisconsin Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.