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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
California Governor
In the 2006 California Governor race, Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.0
Final polls said
R+14.1
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Times | R+17.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | R+16.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Datamar Analytics | R+18.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Institute of California | R+18.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+15.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | San Jose State | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Zogby Analytics | R+8.8 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Datamar Analytics2006-11-031
SurveyUSA2006-11-032
YouGov2006-10-317
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-284
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2006-10-271
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 California Governor race?
Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) won, by about 17.0 points (R+17.0).
When was the 2006 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.