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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
California Governor
In the 2006 California Governor race, Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.0
Final polls said
R+14.1
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Times | R+17.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | R+16.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Datamar Analytics | R+18.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Institute of California | R+18.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+15.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | San Jose State | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Zogby Analytics | R+8.8 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Datamar Analytics2006-11-031
SurveyUSA2006-11-032
YouGov2006-10-317
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-284
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2006-10-271
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 California Governor race?
Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) won, by about 17.0 points (R+17.0).
When was the 2006 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.