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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2006 Minnesota Governor race, Tim Pawlenty (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+1.0
Final polls said
D+3.1
11 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 1.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 5 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+3.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 7 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+6.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | St. Cloud State University | D+9.0 | 10.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Minneapolis Star Tribune2006-11-054
SurveyUSA2006-11-041
Minneapolis Star Tribune2006-11-026
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-013
YouGov2006-10-315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Minnesota Governor race?
Tim Pawlenty (R) won, by about 1.0 points (R+1.0).
When was the 2006 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.