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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2006 Minnesota Governor race, Tim Pawlenty (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+1.0
Final polls said
D+3.1
11 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 1.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 5 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+3.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 7 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+6.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | St. Cloud State University | D+9.0 | 10.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Minneapolis Star Tribune2006-11-054
SurveyUSA2006-11-041
Minneapolis Star Tribune2006-11-026
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-013
YouGov2006-10-315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Minnesota Governor race?
Tim Pawlenty (R) won, by about 1.0 points (R+1.0).
When was the 2006 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.