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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
In the 2006 Pennsylvania Governor race, Ed Rendell (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+20.7
Final polls said
D+21.6
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+18.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+18.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+24.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Temple University Institute for Survey Research | D+24.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+25.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+25.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | West Chester University | D+25.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zogby Analytics | D+13.2 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Pew Research Center | D+29.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-013
YouGov2006-10-313
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2006-10-314
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-283
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2006-10-274
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Pennsylvania Governor race?
Ed Rendell (D) won, by about 20.7 points (D+20.7).
When was the 2006 Pennsylvania Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.