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Toss-up · 2006 House
Arizona House
In the 2006 Arizona House race, Richard Renzi (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.3
Final polls said
R+7.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+13.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | RT Strategies | R+2.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-256
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2006-10-215
RT Strategies2006-10-0912
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2006-09-165
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona House race?
Richard Renzi (R) won, by about 8.3 points (R+8.3).
When was the 2006 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.