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Toss-up · 2006 House
New Mexico House
In the 2006 New Mexico House race, Heather A. Wilson (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.4
Final polls said
D+3.2
6 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+4.0 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | RT Strategies | D+8.0 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+9.0 | 9.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-042
Public Opinion Strategies2006-11-012
Research & Polling Inc.2006-11-014
Zogby Analytics2006-10-269
Public Opinion Strategies2006-10-233
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New Mexico House race?
Heather A. Wilson (R) won, by about 0.4 points (R+0.4).
When was the 2006 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.