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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2006 Michigan Senate race, Debbie Stabenow (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.7
Final polls said
D+13.4
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Lake Research Partners | D+18.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | EPIC-MRA | D+13.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Selzer & Co. | D+19.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+22.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.4 | 8.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-036
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-010
Selzer & Co.2006-11-013
YouGov2006-10-311
EPIC-MRA2006-10-313
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Michigan Senate race?
Debbie Stabenow (D) won, by about 15.7 points (D+15.7).
When was the 2006 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.