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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2006 New Jersey Senate race, Robert Menendez (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.0
Final polls said
D+5.9
22 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gallup | D+10.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+10.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | OnPoint | D+9.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+9.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marist College | D+8.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+4.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | Los Angeles Times | D+4.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+3.0 | 13.0 | ✓ |
| 15 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+2.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 16 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+1.0 | 15.0 | ✓ |
| 17 | The Polling Company Inc. | EVEN | 16.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
36 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnPoint2006-11-067
Quinnipiac University2006-11-0211
Monmouth University Polling Institute2006-11-0213
Gallup2006-11-026
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-029
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New Jersey Senate race?
Robert Menendez (D) won, by about 16.0 points (D+16.0).
When was the 2006 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.