← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2006 New Jersey Senate race, Robert Menendez (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.0
Final polls said
D+5.9
22 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gallup | D+10.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+10.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | OnPoint | D+9.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+9.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marist College | D+8.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+4.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | Los Angeles Times | D+4.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+3.0 | 13.0 | ✓ |
| 15 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+2.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 16 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+1.0 | 15.0 | ✓ |
| 17 | The Polling Company Inc. | EVEN | 16.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
36 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OnPoint2006-11-067
Quinnipiac University2006-11-0211
Monmouth University Polling Institute2006-11-0213
Gallup2006-11-026
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-029
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 New Jersey Senate race?
Robert Menendez (D) won, by about 16.0 points (D+16.0).
When was the 2006 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.