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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Ohio Senate
In the 2006 Ohio Senate race, Sherrod Brown (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.3
Final polls said
D+11.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+12.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | D+12.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+12.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+13.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | D+11.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Los Angeles Times | D+8.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | Opinion Consultants | D+7.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+6.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 12 | Columbus Dispatch | D+24.0 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | University of Akron Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics | R+0.2 | 12.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-040
University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)2006-11-030
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-016
YouGov2006-10-316
Columbus Dispatch2006-10-2912
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Ohio Senate race?
Sherrod Brown (D) won, by about 12.3 points (D+12.3).
When was the 2006 Ohio Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.