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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Texas Senate
In the 2006 Texas Senate race, Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+25.6
Final polls said
R+28.9
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+26.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+18.9 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+36.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2006-10-3110
Zogby Analytics2006-10-257
Zogby Analytics2006-10-249
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-230
Zogby Analytics2006-10-136
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Texas Senate race?
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) won, by about 25.6 points (R+25.6).
When was the 2006 Texas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.