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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Virginia Senate
In the 2006 Virginia Senate race, Jim Webb (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
D+1.0
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | YouGov | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+2.0 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 6 | Los Angeles Times | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gallup | R+3.0 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 8 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+3.0 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 9 | Big Village | D+4.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+4.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
28 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-048
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-021
Gallup2006-11-023
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-020
YouGov2006-10-310
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Virginia Senate race?
Jim Webb (D) won, by about 0.4 points (D+0.4).
When was the 2006 Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.