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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Virginia Senate
In the 2006 Virginia Senate race, Jim Webb (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
D+1.0
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | YouGov | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+2.0 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 6 | Los Angeles Times | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gallup | R+3.0 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 8 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+3.0 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 9 | Big Village | D+4.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+4.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
28 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-048
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-021
Gallup2006-11-023
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-020
YouGov2006-10-310
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Virginia Senate race?
Jim Webb (D) won, by about 0.4 points (D+0.4).
When was the 2006 Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.