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Toss-up · 2008 Governor
North Carolina Governor
In the 2008 North Carolina Governor race, Bev Perdue (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
D+0.6
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Tyson Group | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+6.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marshall Marketing | D+0.4 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | GfK Group | EVEN | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 8 | Elon University | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 7.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-012
Public Policy Polling2008-11-012
The Tyson Group2008-10-281
Public Policy Polling2008-10-250
GfK Group2008-10-243
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 North Carolina Governor race?
Bev Perdue (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).
When was the 2008 North Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.