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Toss-up · 2008 House
New Mexico House
In the 2008 New Mexico House race, Martin Heinrich (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.3
Final polls said
D+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | D+6.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+4.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-297
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-019
GQR2008-09-225
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Mexico House race?
Martin Heinrich (D) won, by about 11.3 points (D+11.3).
When was the 2008 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.