Toss-up · 2008 President

Florida President

In the 2008 Florida President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result

D+2.8

Final polls said

D+2.2

30 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	SurveyUSA	D+3.0	0.2	✓
2	Public Policy Polling	D+2.0	0.8	✓
3	Quinnipiac University	D+2.0	0.8	✓
4	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	D+2.0	0.8	✓
5	YouGov	D+2.0	0.8	✓
6	GfK Group	D+2.0	0.8	✓
7	American Research Group	D+4.0	1.2	✓
8	Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	D+4.0	1.2	✓
9	EMC Research	D+4.0	1.2	✓
10	Zogby Analytics	D+1.0	1.8	✓
11	FTI Consulting	D+1.0	1.8	✓
12	InsiderAdvantage	D+1.0	1.8	✓
13	Big Village	D+5.0	2.2	✓
14	Suffolk University	D+5.0	2.2	✓
15	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	R+1.0	3.8	✗
16	Datamar Analytics	R+1.0	3.8	✗
17	SEA Polling & Strategic Design	D+7.0	4.2	✓
18	Los Angeles Times	D+9.0	6.2	✓