← all past elections
Toss-up · 2008 President
Michigan President
In the 2008 Michigan President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.5
Final polls said
D+14.4
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | EPIC-MRA | D+12.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Big Ten | D+22.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+9.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | FTI Consulting | D+8.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | GQR | D+7.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+7.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 13 | Big Village | D+6.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 14 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rossman Group | D+5.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 16 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 14.5 | ✓ |
| 17 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 16.5 | ✗ |
| 18 | InsiderAdvantage | R+1.0 | 17.5 | ✗ |
| 19 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | R+3.0 | 19.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
32 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2008-11-030
Selzer & Co.2008-10-300
Public Policy Polling2008-10-293
Mitchell Research & Communications2008-10-282
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Michigan President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 16.5 points (D+16.5).
When was the 2008 Michigan President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.