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Toss-up · 2008 President
Michigan President
In the 2008 Michigan President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.5
Final polls said
D+14.4
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | EPIC-MRA | D+12.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Big Ten | D+22.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+9.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | FTI Consulting | D+8.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | GQR | D+7.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+7.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 13 | Big Village | D+6.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 14 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rossman Group | D+5.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 16 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 14.5 | ✓ |
| 17 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 16.5 | ✗ |
| 18 | InsiderAdvantage | R+1.0 | 17.5 | ✗ |
| 19 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | R+3.0 | 19.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
32 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2008-11-030
Selzer & Co.2008-10-300
Public Policy Polling2008-10-293
Mitchell Research & Communications2008-10-282
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Michigan President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 16.5 points (D+16.5).
When was the 2008 Michigan President election held?
It was held in November 2008.