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Toss-up · 2008 President
Minnesota President
In the 2008 Minnesota President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.2
Final polls said
D+10.8
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FTI Consulting | D+10.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | D+12.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | St. Cloud State University | D+5.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 9 | Public Policy Polling | D+16.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+19.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Big Ten | D+19.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | American Research Group | D+1.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
28 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-317
Princeton Survey Research Associates International2008-10-301
Public Policy Polling2008-10-296
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-282
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-272
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Minnesota President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 10.2 points (D+10.2).
When was the 2008 Minnesota President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.