Toss-up · 2008 President

North Carolina President

In the 2008 North Carolina President race, Barack Obama (D) won by less than a point.

Actual result

D+0.3

Final polls said

D+1.7

28 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	InsiderAdvantage	EVEN	0.3	✗
2	American Research Group	D+1.0	0.7	✓
3	Public Policy Polling	D+1.0	0.7	✓
4	The Tyson Group	D+1.0	0.7	✓
5	Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research	D+1.0	0.7	✓
6	Zogby Analytics	R+1.0	1.3	✗
7	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	R+1.0	1.3	✗
8	SurveyUSA	R+1.0	1.3	✗
9	GfK Group	D+2.0	1.7	✓
10	Marshall Marketing	D+2.0	1.7	✓
11	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	R+3.0	3.3	✗
12	Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	R+3.0	3.3	✗
13	YouGov	D+4.0	3.7	✓
14	FTI Consulting	D+4.0	3.7	✓
15	Big Village	D+6.0	5.7	✓
16	Elon University	D+7.0	6.7	✓