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Toss-up · 2008 President
North Carolina President
In the 2008 North Carolina President race, Barack Obama (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.3
Final polls said
D+1.7
28 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | InsiderAdvantage | EVEN | 0.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+1.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Tyson Group | D+1.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research | D+1.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 9 | GfK Group | D+2.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marshall Marketing | D+2.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 12 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 13 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 14 | FTI Consulting | D+4.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 15 | Big Village | D+6.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 16 | Elon University | D+7.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
54 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2008-11-021
American Research Group2008-11-021
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-021
Public Policy Polling2008-11-011
SurveyUSA2008-11-011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 North Carolina President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 0.3 points (D+0.3).
When was the 2008 North Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2008.