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Toss-up · 2008 President
New Jersey President
In the 2008 New Jersey President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.6
Final polls said
D+17.0
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Marist College | D+17.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+18.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+21.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | American Research Group | D+9.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-021
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-305
SurveyUSA2008-10-296
Fairleigh Dickinson University2008-10-262
YouGov2008-10-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 15.6 points (D+15.6).
When was the 2008 New Jersey President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.