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Toss-up · 2008 President
New Jersey President
In the 2008 New Jersey President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.6
Final polls said
D+17.0
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Marist College | D+17.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+18.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+21.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | American Research Group | D+9.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-021
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-305
SurveyUSA2008-10-296
Fairleigh Dickinson University2008-10-262
YouGov2008-10-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 15.6 points (D+15.6).
When was the 2008 New Jersey President election held?
It was held in November 2008.