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Toss-up · 2008 President
New Mexico President
In the 2008 New Mexico President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.1
Final polls said
D+8.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+17.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+8.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | FTI Consulting | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 15.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-308
Public Policy Polling2008-10-292
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-297
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-285
YouGov2008-10-255
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Mexico President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 15.1 points (D+15.1).
When was the 2008 New Mexico President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.