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Toss-up · 2008 President
New Mexico President
In the 2008 New Mexico President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.1
Final polls said
D+8.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+17.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+8.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | FTI Consulting | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 15.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-308
Public Policy Polling2008-10-292
Research & Polling Inc.2008-10-297
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-285
YouGov2008-10-255
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Mexico President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 15.1 points (D+15.1).
When was the 2008 New Mexico President election held?
It was held in November 2008.