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Toss-up · 2008 President
Ohio President
In the 2008 Ohio President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.6
Final polls said
D+5.2
30 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Times | D+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | D+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Columbus Dispatch | D+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | GQR | D+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | D+3.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | American Research Group | D+3.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Quinnipiac University | D+7.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | FTI Consulting | D+7.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | GfK Group | D+7.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 15 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 16 | Suffolk University | D+9.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 17 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 18 | InsiderAdvantage | D+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 19 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 20 | Big Ten | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 21 | Ohio University | D+16.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
67 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2008-11-023
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-025
SurveyUSA2008-11-013
Zogby Analytics2008-11-012
Public Policy Polling2008-11-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Ohio President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 4.6 points (D+4.6).
When was the 2008 Ohio President election held?
It was held in November 2008.