Toss-up · 2008 President

Ohio President

In the 2008 Ohio President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 5 points.

Actual result

D+4.6

Final polls said

D+5.2

30 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Los Angeles Times	D+5.0	0.4	✓
2	University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)	D+6.0	1.4	✓
3	Columbus Dispatch	D+6.0	1.4	✓
4	YouGov	D+6.0	1.4	✓
5	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+6.0	1.4	✓
6	GQR	D+6.0	1.4	✓
7	Marist College	D+3.0	1.6	✓
8	American Research Group	D+3.0	1.6	✓
9	Quinnipiac University	D+7.0	2.4	✓
10	Big Village	D+7.0	2.4	✓
11	FTI Consulting	D+7.0	2.4	✓
12	GfK Group	D+7.0	2.4	✓
13	Zogby Analytics	D+2.0	2.6	✓
14	SurveyUSA	D+2.0	2.6	✓
15	Public Policy Polling	D+2.0	2.6	✓
16	Suffolk University	D+9.0	4.4	✓
17	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	EVEN	4.6	✗
18	InsiderAdvantage	D+10.0	5.4	✓
19	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	R+2.0	6.6	✗
20	Big Ten	D+12.0	7.4	✓
21	Ohio University	D+16.0	11.4	✓