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Toss-up · 2008 President
Pennsylvania President
In the 2008 Pennsylvania President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.3
Final polls said
D+9.5
28 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Big Ten | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | FTI Consulting | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | InsiderAdvantage | D+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Temple University Institute for Survey Research | D+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+12.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | GfK Group | D+12.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Public Policy Polling | D+8.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 11 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | D+8.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 12 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+13.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | YouGov | D+7.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 14 | Marist College | D+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 15 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 16 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 17 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 18 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+4.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
54 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-11-021
Zogby Analytics2008-11-020
Zogby Analytics2008-11-013
Public Policy Polling2008-11-012
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-11-014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Pennsylvania President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 10.3 points (D+10.3).
When was the 2008 Pennsylvania President election held?
It was held in November 2008.