Toss-up · 2008 President

Virginia President

In the 2008 Virginia President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 6 points.

Actual result

D+6.3

Final polls said

D+6.3

24 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Public Policy Polling	D+6.0	0.3	✓
2	Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	D+6.0	0.3	✓
3	InsiderAdvantage	D+6.0	0.3	✓
4	Zogby Analytics	D+7.0	0.7	✓
5	YouGov	D+7.0	0.7	✓
6	GfK Group	D+7.0	0.7	✓
7	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+8.0	1.7	✓
8	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	D+4.0	2.3	✓
9	American Research Group	D+4.0	2.3	✓
10	SurveyUSA	D+4.0	2.3	✓
11	Marist College	D+4.0	2.3	✓
12	FTI Consulting	D+4.0	2.3	✓
13	Big Village	D+9.0	2.7	✓
14	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	D+9.0	2.7	✓
15	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	D+3.0	3.3	✓
16	Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs	D+11.0	4.7	✓
17	Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research	D+1.0	5.3	✓
18	Suffolk University	D+12.0	5.7	✓