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Toss-up · 2008 President
Wisconsin President
In the 2008 Wisconsin President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+13.9
Final polls said
D+11.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FTI Consulting | D+13.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Institute for Survey and Policy Research | D+15.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Big Ten | D+12.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+12.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+16.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+17.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Wisconsin Survey Center | D+10.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Big Village | D+8.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | American Research Group | D+5.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-282
YouGov2008-10-252
University of Wisconsin Survey Center2008-10-254
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-237
Big Ten2008-10-212
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Wisconsin President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 13.9 points (D+13.9).
When was the 2008 Wisconsin President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.