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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Iowa Senate
In the 2008 Iowa Senate race, Tom Harkin (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.4
Final polls said
D+22.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | D+26.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+26.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+20.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+16.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2008-10-301
SurveyUSA2008-10-281
YouGov2008-10-255
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-239
SurveyUSA2008-10-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Iowa Senate race?
Tom Harkin (D) won, by about 25.4 points (D+25.4).
When was the 2008 Iowa Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.