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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2008 Michigan Senate race, Carl Levin (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+28.8
Final polls said
D+22.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+25.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | FTI Consulting | D+34.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+23.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+22.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Selzer & Co. | D+21.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | EPIC-MRA | D+18.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2008-10-308
Public Policy Polling2008-10-297
EPIC-MRA2008-10-2711
YouGov2008-10-256
EPIC-MRA2008-10-211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Michigan Senate race?
Carl Levin (D) won, by about 28.8 points (D+28.8).
When was the 2008 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.