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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Minnesota Senate
In the 2008 Minnesota Senate race, Al Franken (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
EVEN
Final polls said
D+0.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | FTI Consulting | D+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 10 | Big Ten | D+6.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 12 | St. Cloud State University | R+9.0 | 9.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-315
Princeton Survey Research Associates International2008-10-304
Public Policy Polling2008-10-295
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2008-10-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Minnesota Senate race?
Al Franken (D) won, by about 0.0 points (EVEN).
When was the 2008 Minnesota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.