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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2008 New Jersey Senate race, Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.1
Final polls said
D+16.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+19.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+20.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marist College | D+7.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+22.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2008-10-305
SurveyUSA2008-10-291
Fairleigh Dickinson University2008-10-266
YouGov2008-10-250
Marist College2008-10-207
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 New Jersey Senate race?
Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won, by about 14.1 points (D+14.1).
When was the 2008 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.