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Toss-up · 2009 Governor
Virginia Governor
In the 2009 Virginia Governor race, Robert Francis McDonnell (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.4
Final polls said
R+14.3
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | R+18.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+16.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+14.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | R+13.8 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+13.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+13.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+11.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | Clarus Research Group | R+8.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | InsiderAdvantage | R+3.7 | 13.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2009-10-311
Public Policy Polling2009-10-313
YouGov2009-10-294
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2009-10-285
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2009-10-274
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2009 Virginia Governor race?
Robert Francis McDonnell (R) won, by about 17.4 points (R+17.4).
When was the 2009 Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2009.