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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2010 Arizona Governor race, Janice Kay Brewer (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.9
Final polls said
R+11.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+11.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+14.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+8.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Moore Information Group | R+17.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-282
Public Policy Polling2010-10-234
Moore Information Group2010-10-125
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2010-10-051
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-034
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arizona Governor race?
Janice Kay Brewer (R) won, by about 11.9 points (R+11.9).
When was the 2010 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.