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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
California Governor
In the 2010 California Governor race, Jerry Brown (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.9
Final polls said
D+7.3
19 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+13.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+10.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Tulchin Research | D+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Suffolk University | D+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+7.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Angus Reid Global | D+5.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 12 | Ipsos | D+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 13 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+3.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 14 | Tarrance Group | EVEN | 12.9 | ✗ |
| 15 | WPA Intelligence | R+1.0 | 13.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | ccAdvertising | R+4.4 | 17.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
39 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-308
YouGov2010-10-303
SurveyUSA2010-10-282
Angus Reid Global2010-10-288
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-279
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 California Governor race?
Jerry Brown (D) won, by about 12.9 points (D+12.9).
When was the 2010 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.