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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2010 Minnesota Governor race, Mark Dayton (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
D+5.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+7.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | St. Cloud State University | D+10.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+12.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-283
SurveyUSA2010-10-261
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-240
University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs2010-10-2312
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Minnesota Governor race?
Mark Dayton (D) won, by about 0.4 points (D+0.4).
When was the 2010 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.