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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2010 Minnesota Governor race, Mark Dayton (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
D+5.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+7.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | St. Cloud State University | D+10.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs | D+12.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-283
SurveyUSA2010-10-261
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-240
University of Minnesota Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs2010-10-2312
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Minnesota Governor race?
Mark Dayton (D) won, by about 0.4 points (D+0.4).
When was the 2010 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.